Spend any time studying trading the markets and you’ll quickly encounter the lines that traders draw all over their charts. But why do traders do this and what do these easily recognizable lines signify? Well, upon looking at any price chart, it quickly becomes obvious that price moves in a succession of highs and lows.
The highs and lows will often move in a definite direction and this directional move determines the trend of the market.
The highs form the peaks whilst the lows form the troughs of price movement.
In technical terms, the lows (or troughs) are referred to as Support, while the highs (or peaks) are referred to as Resistance.
Support tends to be an area in the market where buying pressure is strong enough to overcome selling. This pressure is usually strong enough to stop the decline and cause a turnaround in price to the upside again. Demand exceeds supply at this point (Figures 1 and 2)
Resistance works opposite to support and is an area in the market where selling is strong enough to overcome buying power of market participants and reverse the advancing prices. Supply exceeds demand at this point (Figures 1 and 2).
As we can see below, demand and supply translate into support and resistance.
To take things one step further, we can draw lines to join these price peaks and troughs. When we do this, these are called trendlines. They join the all-important areas of support and areas of resistance. The trendline is a simple yet important tool in the technical analyst’s tool bag.
In a rising trend, the uptrend line is a straight line that is drawn upwards, to the right hand side, to connect the low points or troughs of price action. The uptrend line connects the bottoms. See Figures 3 and 4 below:
Figure 4: Trendline in an uptrend
Similarly, in a falling trend, the downtrend line is a straight line that is drawn downwards, to the right hand side, to connect the high points or price peaks. The downtrend line connects the tops. See Figures 5 and 6:
Figure 6: Trendline in a down trend
For a trendline to be drawn, there must be a valid trend in place. The market must be trending.
For an uptrend line to be drawn, there must be at least two low points on the chart that the line connects, with a requirement that the second low point be higher than the first. At this point it is a tentative uptrend line as it only connects two low points on the chart. The uptrend line connects the higher lows of an uptrend.
For a downtrend line to be drawn, there must be at least two peaks on the chart that the line connects, with a requirement that the second peak be lower than the first. At this point it is a tentative downtrend line as it only connects two peaks on the chart. The downtrend line connects the higher lows of a downtrend.
Up until now, we’ve only talked about a tentative trend line. So if connecting two points on a price chart produces a tentative trend line, what makes a valid trend line then? A true trendline needs to have at least three touches to be valid.
An uptrend line will need to connect at least three extreme points where price touches and bounces off the line for it to be a valid trend line. For the same reason, a downtrend line needs to connect at least three extreme points where price touches and bounces off the line for it to be a valid trend line. So, what’s the point in drawing trendlines you ask?
What Trendlines Are Used For
Trendlines help us determine the extremities of corrective price movements in a market when a trend is in motion; specifically they identify areas of support and resistance. Trendlines track and identify evolving support and resistance levels in the market. For as long as the trendline remains intact and unbroken, its touches provide us with good buying opportunities in an uptrend, and good selling opportunities in a downtrend.
The break of a valid trendline is also an important event as that alerts us to possible changes in the direction of the trend.
Lastly, an important variation of the trendline to mention is the concept of internal trendlines. Internal trendlines do not rely on extreme highs or lows. Rather, they are drawn through price action itself to connect as many internal peaks and troughs as possible that lie within the same linear trajectory (Figure 7). Some traders find these very useful.
However, an obvious problem with internal trend lines is their subjectivity. Drawing them is subjective and depends on the perceptions and imagination of the person drawing them. This is unlike the more conventional trendlines described above which are more precise as they are drawn along the extreme highs and lows.
Figure 8 highlights the difference between an internal trendline and a support and resistance line.
Figure 7: Internal trendline
Figure 8: Internal Trendline Versus Support and Resistance line
What a week it has been for the little guy! A group of retail traders from Reddit have banded together and worked out a genius plan to attack short sellers from investment banks and hedge funds. What Is Short Selling? Short selling is when you take a trade predicting...
There’s an old German proverb that goes ‘Morgenstund hat Gold im Mund’; meaning the morning hour has gold in its mouth. This strategy will prove that saying correct as it’s all about trading on the opening of the German DAX, which begins at 8:00am UK time. This is a...
In our Mentorship Facebook group we recently made a video about the run in base metal based stocks (3rd Dec). Since then the likes of Anglo American (below) have moved nicely inline with this underlying trend. There have been multiple signals with our own signature...